Current implied probability
26°C 24.6%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$26.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 4:57 AM UTCSep 25, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.4pt100%
- October 31+0.1pt100%
- September 24+0.3pt100%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $324K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- China (5+ times)-28.0pt45%
- Melania+14.0pt44%
- Peace33%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.7K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.9M
- 24h Vol
- $64.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- 23°C+61.5pt81%
- 24°C-17.0pt6.7%
- 26°C-6.5pt6.7%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-0.5pt90.9%
- Moonshot-0.5pt6.1%
- Z.ai-1.1pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $42.7M
- 24h Vol
- $32.7K
- Taipei Mayor Election Winner
- How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
- China PR vs Maldives
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
- AI bubble burst by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on September 25??
- Polymarket prices 26°C at 24.6% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Beijing on September 25? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 25? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Beijing on September 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.