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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. GPT-5.6 released by...?
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

0.6% (24h)AIOne-Off1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
July 31
July 31 96%-1.1%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$11.5K

Liquidity

$51.8K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.3% / 3.7%

Spread

12.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

-22.0%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 28, 26, 7:14 PMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
May 31
May 31
0%
May 15
May 15
0%

Selected outcome

July 3196%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
  • (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
  • (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.