PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Randy Fine 99%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$109.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Apr 13, 26, 10:54 PMAug 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Randy Fine96%
Compare venues· Randy Fine
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 96% | 0pt | $5 | $109.6K | 23 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active90% match · verified | Medium | 97% | +1pt | $936.8 | $188.2K | 23 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
FL-06 Republican nominee?
1y
+1.0pt94.2%
1.9%
1%
+3 more outcomes
54 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$336.5K
24h Vol$936.8
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 224d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.