KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRandy Fine 94.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$188.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 4:00 PMAug 18, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Daniel Bilzerian1%
Compare venues· Randy Fine
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall90% match · verified | Medium | 96% | 0pt | $6.2 | $108.1K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Medium | 97% | +1pt | $1.9K | $188.8K | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
0.3 pts19d
99%
-0.3pt1%
0%
+15 more outcomes
70 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$209.5K
24h Vol$6.2
POLYMARKETRules
If Randy Fine wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ernest Audino wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Aaron Baker wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Daniel Bilzerian wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Charles Gambaro wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexandra van Cleef wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.9kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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If Randy Fine wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ernest Audino wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Aaron Baker wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Daniel Bilzerian wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Charles Gambaro wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexandra van Cleef wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.