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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. FL-20 Democratic nominee?
FL-20 Democratic nominee?

FL-20 Democratic nominee?

19.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Elijah Manley
Elijah Manley 64%+19.0%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$53.3

Liquidity

$109.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

58.0% / 65.0%

Spread

12.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 15, 26, 10:30 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Elijah Manley64%

Rules

If Luther Campbell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Dale Holness wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Douglas wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Rudolph Moise wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Elijah Manley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,859.74+2.68%EthereumETH$1,657.83+2.30%SolanaSOL$65.36+3.05%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.90%XRPXRP$1.12+0.70%BNBBNB$599.66+2.70%

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Rules

If Luther Campbell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Dale Holness wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Douglas wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Rudolph Moise wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Elijah Manley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.