KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMarcus Carter 6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Marcus Carter6%
Compare venues· Thomas Chalifoux
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · verified | Medium | 74% | 0pt | $50 | $31.4K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 69% | -5pt | $0 | $5.4K | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
2.5%1mo
+2.5%74%
+14.9%21%
-0.1%5%
+18 more outcomes
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$21.5K
24h Vol$50
POLYMARKETRules
If Marcus Carter wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Thomas Chalifoux wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jorge Malavet wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Steve Rance wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Justin Story wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ricky Booth wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 39d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
$3.8KDebbie Wasserman Schultz: 51%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-02 Republican nominee?
$1.2KEvan Power: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-23 Democratic nominee?
$617.3Oliver Larkin: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-11 Republican nominee?
$352.2Carey Baker: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-06 Republican nominee?
$220.1Randy Fine: 96%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-13 Democratic nominee?
$218Leela Gray: 96%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focusBlockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
If Marcus Carter wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Thomas Chalifoux wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jorge Malavet wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Steve Rance wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Justin Story wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ricky Booth wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.