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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. FL-02 Republican nominee?
FL-02 Republican nominee?

FL-02 Republican nominee?

55.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Keith Gross
Keith Gross 10%-55.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$7.3

Liquidity

$370.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

48.0% / 55.0%

Spread

14.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Keith Gross10%

Rules

If Keith Gross wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nick Lewis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Luke Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jim Norton wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Evan Power wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Austin Rogers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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FL-22 Republican nominee?

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Michael Carbonara: 81%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,966.77+1.74%EthereumETH$1,650.46+0.59%SolanaSOL$65.61+1.44%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.03%XRPXRP$1.11-0.64%BNBBNB$600.51+1.56%

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Rules

If Keith Gross wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nick Lewis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Luke Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jim Norton wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Evan Power wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Austin Rogers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.