PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 1%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$68.9K
Liquidity
$174.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 1.1%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.7%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 9:13 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.