PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No change (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityNo change 100%+0.4ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.8M
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 39 days ago
StaleDec 10, 25, 9:50 PMJun 17, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
No change100%
25 bps decrease0%
25 bps increase0%
50+ bps decrease0%
50+ bps increase1%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Fed decision in Jun 2026?
Closed
Resolved
Fed maintains rate (99%)
96.1%
1%
1%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$33.1M
24h Vol$5M
KALSHI
Also available on Limitless
Fed Decision in June?
Closed
67.6%
22.7%
5.1%
+2 more outcomes
9 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$42.7K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.