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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Bank of Japan Decision in July?
Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

FedMonthlyCentral Banks1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
No change
No change 90%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$70

Liquidity

$13.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.2% / 3.8%

Spread

216.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

+1.9%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Apr 28, 26, 11:12 PMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
50+ bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
0%

Selected outcome

No change90%

Rules

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
  • If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
  • (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,067.45+1.35%EthereumETH$1,635.64+0.85%SolanaSOL$64.46+0.32%BNBBNB$591.45+0.83%XRPXRP$1.11-0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0838+0.16%

Related News

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Rules

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
  • If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
  • (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.