PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo change 99%+0.6%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.2K
Liquidity
$169.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.1% / 98.9%
Spread
0.8%
Tight spread7d Change
-0.1%
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 11:09 PMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No change99%
Compare venues· No change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 99% | — | $15.2K | $169.4K | 17 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi82% match · auto | Medium | 97% | — | $10.9K | $86.5K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Bank of Japan rate decision in July
1.0%4d
+2.0%97%
-1.0%3%
2%
+2 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$115.9K
24h Vol$10.9K
KALSHIRules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$15.2kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.