PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
180-199 17.9%Leader of 26 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13.6K
Liquidity
$147.4K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 4:00 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.