Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?
YearlyEquitiesBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNVIDIA 97.1%Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 26, 3:42 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a worldwide recession before 2029?
Manifold Markets3rd largest company end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDatabricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This question will be resolved accordingly to the data from https://companiesmarketcap.com/ on January 1st 2027 at 12:00 UTC.
- (If the page had some technical failures, I'd adjust this time accordingly or change the source.)
- This question will not be affected by any name changes.
- If companies merge with another company, the new company will be taken into account.
- I.e. if Microsoft and Apple were to merge, 11 companies would resolve YES, and both Microsoft and Apple would resolve YES.
- In the case of a split, both splits will count for the future of the question, but the larger split will be checked at the end of the year.
Open markets
Equities
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No61.1%
- Yes38.9%
- Total Vol
- $254.7K
- 24h Vol
- $251.7K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-7.0pt75.8%
- Apple+3.2pt16.8%
- Alphabet6.3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.1M
- 24h Vol
- $134K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,000 or above99%
- 28,740 or above98%
- 28,920 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $127.8K
- 24h Vol
- $127.8K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,545 or above99%
- 7,525 or above99%
- 7,540 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $129.1K
- 24h Vol
- $126.3K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- 7,570 or above99%
- 7,555 or above99%
- 7,520 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.6K
- 24h Vol
- $96.8K
POLYMARKETSPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Down+35.5pt99%
- Up-35.5pt1%
- Total Vol
- $82.1K
- 24h Vol
- $82.1K
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices NVIDIA at 97% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026? resolve?
- Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2026.
- How is Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will be resolved accordingly to the data from https://companiesmarketcap.com/ on January 1st 2027 at 12:00 UTC.