PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
1800+ 100%+3.3ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-23.6 pts
Market data
Updated 47 days ago
StaleJul 15, 26, 1:57 AM UTCJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
10000+1%
7500+0%
5000+100%
2000+100%
2500+100%
3000+100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time.
- If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
- Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.