Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?
One-OffEntertainmentAI3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 21, 25, 11:39 AM UTCFeb 21, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market is entirely subjective.
- I have developed Roblox games for the past 10 years, so I am familiar with the platform.
- Roblox has a reputation for being lesser than games made on other engines, so I think it’s a good comparator for what would classify as a “low level”, but still fully functional and developed game.
- The game compared to will be the best made Roblox game, in my own opinion, at the time xAI releases a game.
- The market will not resolve NO until the end of the 5 years, and any games released will qualify for the comparison.
- I will compare any future games on the following criteria:
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
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- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
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+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs? resolve?
- Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs? is scheduled to resolve on February 21, 2030.
- How is Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is entirely subjective.