Will we have gene therapy for a major strain of Crohn's disease by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we have gene therapy for a major strain of Crohn's disease by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 76.4% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will we have gene therapy for a major strain of Crohn's disease by 2030? resolve?

Will we have gene therapy for a major strain of Crohn's disease by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is Will we have gene therapy for a major strain of Crohn's disease by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "major strain" = 20% or more of cases

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KALSHI

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

• Before 2027+7.0pt24.5%
• Before November+4.0pt7.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$108.3K

24h Vol

$4.4K

POLYMARKET

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

• 20 to 34-9.7pt72.3%
• 35 to 49+12.0pt25.7%
• 50 or more-0.1pt1%

POLYMARKET

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt97%
• Yes-0.1pt3%

Total Vol

$794.8K

24h Vol

$4.1K

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.4pt98%
• Yes-0.4pt2%

Total Vol

$18.8M

24h Vol

$4.1K

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

• No97.7%
• Yes+0.9pt2.4%

Total Vol

$2M

24h Vol

$2K

KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

• Above 500098.5%
• Above 6000-1.0pt75.5%
• Above 7000-3.0pt41%

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• New pandemic in 2026?
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• Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
• New pandemic before 2028?
• Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
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