Current community forecast
Tesla Robotaxi Dies 14.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 23, 25, 5:46 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://x.com/powerbottomdad1/status/1936912446285050355
- Will Powerbottom Dad's prediction that Waymo, and Uber, will die due to the popularity of Tesla Robotaxi or the combination of suboptimal technology and the high CapEx required for their own service come true in the next few years?
- Will resolve based on evidence that Tesla's service was a chief factor, or at least that the prediction is directionally true and the CapEx of Waymo has been proven to be unsustainable.
- I suspect this will generate some healthy debate in the comments, and that eventually we may desire to have polls.
- Bonus market for the inversion that actually Robotaxis die
- [link preview]
