Will there be a US federal antitrust ruling against a 2025 frontier lab by the end of 2032?
AIRegulationOne-OffTech6yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleDec 1, 25, 8:11 PM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if there is a US federal antitrust ruling against a frontier lab by the end of 2032.
- "US federal antitrust ruling" means a final verdict in a case where the central point of contention is antitrust behavior, issued by any duly appointed judge or panel of judges within the United States federal court system.
- Verdicts that get overturned on appeal will still count towards the resolution.
- Preliminary injunctions or intermediate rulings that are not final verdicts will not count towards the resolution criteria.
- "Against" means that the verdict concludes that the frontier lab in question has violated antitrust law to a punishable degree.
- "2025 frontier lab" is taken to mean any of the following:
