Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?
One-OffSociety & CultureUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.4%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleDec 13, 22, 8:48 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PredictItRules
Must be intentional.
- An accidental library fire doesn't count.
- A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count.
- Must involve several people and a large number of books, somewhere public or semi-public.
- Only events after market creation.
