What are the current odds for Will there be a national (US) school phone ban by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 81.6% as of October 29, 2026.

Will there be a national (US) school phone ban by 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 81.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Stale

Sep 3, 24, 3:12 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

We’ve got red states banning phones in school, and now blue states are trying to do it as well.

Now “at least 13 states have passed laws or enacted policies that ban or restrict students’ use of cellphones in schools statewide or recommend local districts enact their own bans”
By the end of the 2020s, will there be national legislation which limits the usage of mobile phones within public schools across the US?
See a shorter, localized version of this market:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/mattyb/will-nyc-restrict-mobile-phones-dur)