Current community forecast
No 56.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 24, 26, 8:27 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Must either be available in a car a normal person could actually buy (<$1M USD), or in a ride-share program a normal person could actually use.
- Only available in China or some other country is fine.
- LLM-based means that the self-driving system relies on a (possibly heavily modified) LLM to make driving decisions.
- A hybrid system where the LLM makes a subset of driving decisions would qualify.
- For this question I'm defining LLM slightly generously - if the driving model itself is capable of reasoning about and responding to general user queries (including those having nothing to do with driving) via text, or is a modified variant of a model which could do so, I'll consider it an LLM.
- Please ask clarifying questions!
