Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 84%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMay 15, 23, 1:31 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
YES criteria:
- The U.S. Department of the Treasury or another authorised government entity officially announces the issuance of a 100-year bond.
- The bond must be open to the general public and institutional investors.
- Must be confirmed in reliable public source/s.
Open markets
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.8%+2.9pt8%
- 3.9%-1.3pt8%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $245.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-29.0pt48%
- 4.85%-20.0pt47%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5K
- 24h Vol
- $5K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.21% or above99%
- 4.23% or above99%
- 4.25% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9K
- 24h Vol
- $4.9K
KALSHI7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.57% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.4K
- 24h Vol
- $4.4K
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030? resolve?
- Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: YES criteria: