Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 6, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 89.2%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 51 days ago
StaleNov 15, 24, 9:11 PMJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes89%
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