Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.2% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036? resolve?

Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2036.

How is Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if and only if on Jan 1st, 2036 a human, for the first time, sets foot on the Martian surface.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+6.5pt58%
• Anthropic-0.9pt42%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7M

24h Vol

$217.5K

POLYMARKET

Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

• Jay Z93%
• Miley Cyrus+12.5pt28%
• Kanye West+3.5pt18%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 10+13.0pt99.5%
• Above 999.5%
• Above 699.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google+16.0pt74.3%
• Anthropic-10.0pt22.8%
• OpenAI-0.2pt2%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

• Google+5.5pt37.6%
• Anthropic+4.0pt33%
• Meta-4.2pt3.7%

KALSHI

Total space launches in October

• Above 9+1.0pt99%
• Above 1098.5%
• Above 11+33.0pt94%

• Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
• How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
• Third-best AI Lab end of November?
• When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
• Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?
• Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
• Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?