Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 25, 2026, 2:43 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 84%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 days ago
StaleJan 1, 26, 8:09 PMJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes16%
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KALSHI
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