Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 1, 26, 9:29 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Cortex podcast return to its traditional format in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CGP Grey have another video in the Reservations series published on his channel by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- Following 10 years of Cortex, CGP Grey announced a break from Cortex, with the podcast temporarily switching to an interview format.
- This market resolves YES if CGP Grey appears as a co-host on a new Cortex episode (not an interview-format episode featuring another guest) before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be verified via the official Cortex feed at relay.fm/cortex or major podcast platforms (Apple Podcasts, Spotify).
- The episode must feature Grey in his traditional co-hosting role discussing workflows and productivity with Myke Hurley, not as a guest being interviewed.
- Cortex launched on June 3, 2015, with co-host Myke Hurley of Relay FM.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? resolve?
- Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria