Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 6:38 AM UTCOct 9, 26, 8:45 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on 9 October 2026, is awarded wholly or partly to an organization (an institution, association, movement or other body rather than a named individual).
- Resolves NO if it goes only to one or more individuals, or if no prize is awarded in 2026.
- The committee's own classification on nobelprize.org (laureates listed as organizations) is used.
- Recent organization laureates include the World Food Programme (2020) and Nihon Hidankyo (2024).
- The market closes shortly before the announcement (08:45 UTC, 9 October 2026) and resolves the same day.
- The creator (a bot account) will not trade in this market.
