KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Paradiso 17 11%Leader of 11 outcomes
Paradiso 17 11%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$1.6K
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 1:00 AM UTCNov 18, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
National Book Award for Translated Literature
KalshiNational Book Award for Poetry
KalshiNational Book Award for Nonfiction
KalshiNational Book Award for Young People's Literature
KalshiHow many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination?
Manifold MarketsWill Magical Girl Witch Trials be nominated for an award at The Game Awards?
Manifold MarketsRules
If 'Paradiso 17' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Book Awards
- The 77th National Book Awards is scheduled to take place Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
Rules for each outcome
- Paradiso 17
- If 'Paradiso 17' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Disappearers
- If 'The Disappearers' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Python’s Kiss
- If 'Python’s Kiss' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Red Ants
- If 'Red Ants' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Passengers
- If 'Passengers' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Renovation
- If 'The Renovation' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dèy
- If 'Dèy' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pretend You’re Dead and I Carry You
- If 'Pretend You’re Dead and I Carry You' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Beginning Middle End
- If 'Beginning Middle End' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mad Eden
- If 'Mad Eden' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie
- If 'Tie' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
