Current implied probability
Shankar Balasubramanian 22%Leader of 30 outcomes
Shankar Balasubramanian 22%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$21.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 9:00 AM UTCOct 8, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026
KalshiWill a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Manifold MarketsWill Bradley Voytek ever win the Atkinson Prize in Psychological and Cognitive Sciences?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben Golub [Northwestern U prof] ever win the nobel prize in economics
Manifold MarketsRules
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- The 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is scheduled to be announced on October 7, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The prize may be shared by up to three laureates.
- A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026 · Tao Zhang 54%
