Current community forecast
No 85.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 8, 26, 6:56 PM UTCDec 31, 22, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alok Singh, Nate Bottman, Ryan Alweiss, or Elliot Glazer ever win the Alternative Fields Medal?
Manifold MarketsWill four humans receive the Fields Medal in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketNcaafheisman 26
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.6pt61.2%
- Lamine Yamal+2.5pt16.5%
- Kylian Mbappé-0.4pt10.7%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.9M
- 24h Vol
- $796.7K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $136.8K
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.3pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt74%
- Kylian Mbappé+8.5pt66%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI+2.0pt65.5%
- Resident Evil Requiem-2.0pt10.9%
- Control Resonant7.3%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
GEMINIWho will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Harry Kane63.5%
- Lamine Yamal15.5%
- Kylian Mbappe12.5%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.3K
- 24h Vol
- $3.4K
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan9.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4K
- 24h Vol
- $1.9K
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Carina Hong win a Fields Medal??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Carina Hong win a Fields Medal? resolve?
- Will Carina Hong win a Fields Medal? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2222.