Current community forecast
No 90.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 8, 26, 6:56 PM UTCDec 31, 22, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alok Singh, Nate Bottman, Ryan Alweiss, or Elliot Glazer ever win the Alternative Fields Medal?
Manifold MarketsWill Z win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Manifold MarketsWill four humans receive the Fields Medal in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Manifold MarketsWill Bradley Voytek ever win the Atkinson Prize in Psychological and Cognitive Sciences?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
