What are the current odds for Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 20, 2026.

When does Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October? resolve?

Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October? is scheduled to resolve on August 19, 2026.

Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October?

Corporate ActionsOne-OffAI Business & Corporate

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 6:31 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Aug 18, 26, 3:13 AMAug 19, 26, 6:31 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Market resolves to YES if Stripe officially announces or completes the acquisition of OpenRouter before market close

The time that the deal is closed will be used.
So if OpenRouter announces the acquisition on October 3rd but they signed the papers on September 27th, then the market would still resolve to YES.
If no reliable date can be found for when the legal documents for the acquisition were finalized, the date the acquisition was announced will be used instead.
Resolution source will be any announcements from OpenRouter or Stripe or trustworthy news sources like Bloomberg.
In August 2026, newspapers reported that Stripe offered to acquire OpenRouter for $7 billion, a massive jump in valuation from OpenRouter's $1.3 billion valuation in May 2026.

Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October?

Corporate ActionsOne-OffAI Business & Corporate

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 6:31 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Aug 18, 26, 3:13 AMAug 19, 26, 6:31 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Market resolves to YES if Stripe officially announces or completes the acquisition of OpenRouter before market close

The time that the deal is closed will be used.
So if OpenRouter announces the acquisition on October 3rd but they signed the papers on September 27th, then the market would still resolve to YES.
If no reliable date can be found for when the legal documents for the acquisition were finalized, the date the acquisition was announced will be used instead.
Resolution source will be any announcements from OpenRouter or Stripe or trustworthy news sources like Bloomberg.
In August 2026, newspapers reported that Stripe offered to acquire OpenRouter for $7 billion, a massive jump in valuation from OpenRouter's $1.3 billion valuation in May 2026.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 20, 2026.
When does Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October? resolve?: Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October? is scheduled to resolve on August 19, 2026.
How is Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market resolves to YES if Stripe officially announces or completes the acquisition of OpenRouter before market close

Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October?

Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October?

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