Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.5%)
Resolved: Dec 31, 2024, 9:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Yes98.5%
No1.5%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Will the closing price (C) of the last trading day of 2024 be higher than the opening price (O) on the first trading day of 2024.
- If C > O then YES
- If C == O then NO
- N/A if there are less than 2 trading days in 2024.
- Other questions on this topic