Will somebody perform an assassination attempt on Mark Zuckerberg before 2028?
One-OffCrime & JusticeSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 11, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 78.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 days ago
StaleJun 10, 26, 8:39 AMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes21%
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