Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.3%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 1:15 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Neuralink IPO before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if it goes public before end of year 2030 and resolves NO otherwise.
- Neuralink is a company founded by Elon Musk.
- This is their website: https://neuralink.com/
- [link preview]
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $113.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.7K
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.3K
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $15K
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Neuralink IPO before EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Neuralink IPO before EOY 2030? resolve?
- Will Neuralink IPO before EOY 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Will Neuralink IPO before EOY 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if it goes public before end of year 2030 and resolves NO otherwise.