Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 91.8%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 27, 26, 3:36 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Banking on a kiwi effect here 🥝