Conditional on neither dying, will Sam Altman’s net worth exceed that of Elon Musk before 2040?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.8%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 23, 3:56 AM UTCJan 1, 40, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves N/A if either Elon Musk or Sam Altman dies before 2040.
- I will get net worth numbers using whatever is considered credible at the time.
- (I wanted to use Forbes for now but they appear to be down right now).
- Resolves YES if, at any point, Musk is shown to have less net worth than Altman.
- (Just a screenshot of a reputable site reporting this or article counts for proof)
- If there is significant disagreement about their net worth (some sites report Elon Musk as higher and others report Sam Altman as higher) resolves 50%.
