Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (89%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 1:41 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes11%
No89%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if the Manifold site integrates some sort of meter that fills when anybody buys mana.
- The meter must have goals that trigger cool or interesting things to happen when some amount of purchased mana is reached.
- Multiple goals with different purchase levels are allowed.
- This meter should not be tailored to specific users; it must be a shared tracker for everybody.
- Otherwise, if this condition is not met before market close (Sep 30, 2026 at 9:30pm ET), resolves NO.
- This market will not extend.