Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80.8%
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36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 36 minutes ago
May 2, 23, 4:09 PM UTCJun 11, 27, 6:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
As far as I can remember, I've never been hit by a bike on an actual road, but I've come close on multiple occasions.
- I nearly got hit by a car last week because of Manifold.
- Apparently, I have a habit of beginning to cross streets before looking both ways.
- One semester (block), I earned a 6 (exceeding expectations) in both disposition and achievement for being so good at walking (the "class" was specifically walking).
- To count as being "hit by a bike," I have to come in contact with a moving bike, the biker on the bike, or any of the bikers possessions (that can't flow in wind -- so something like paper or leaves won't count).
- And being intentionally hit by a bike or pushed into the bike lane doesn't count.
