Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.5%)
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 11:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 98.5%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJul 28, 24, 6:19 PMAug 4, 26, 9:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes98.5%
No1.5%
98.5%
1.5%
Rules
I’m tubefed and bedridden, suffering from an undisclosed severe chronic illness (not terminal), although some people die, especially at risk of infections.
- M20 previously healthy.
- Disease is too rare to have prognosis statistics, but has a high rate of suicide also (since no treatment or cure).
- I obviously won’t bet here.
- 2 years time is 2026 August 1.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I be alive in 2 years time??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 16, 2026.
- When does Will I be alive in 2 years time? resolve?
- Will I be alive in 2 years time? is scheduled to resolve on August 4, 2026.
- How is Will I be alive in 2 years time? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I’m tubefed and bedridden, suffering from an undisclosed severe chronic illness (not terminal), although some people die, especially at risk of infections.
