Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 17, 26, 9:59 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Hantavirus as a pandemic.
- “NO” - If there is no declaration.
- The market will end on December 31st 2026 unless there is a deceleration before.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $35.4K
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $759.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.8K
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026? resolve?
- Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria