Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.1%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 28, 23, 3:13 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
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Manifold MarketsHow many wide film releases in Q4 2026?
KalshiWill Rockstar Games release the PC version of GTA 6 before 2028?
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
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- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console? resolve?
- Will GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.