Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.8%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 12:31 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of NVIDIA, Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will have the largest market cap at 2026 EOY?
Manifold Markets$OUSD hits $1M market cap by EOY?
Manifold MarketsGOOG reaches $600 by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Alphabet Inc. (GOOG/GOOGL) has the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company globally as of the market close on the final trading day of December 2026.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on data provided by reputable financial market data platforms, such as CompaniesMarketCap.com or Bloomberg.
- Market capitalization is defined as the current share price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding.
- If market data for the final trading day is ambiguous or conflicting, common sense and the consensus of major financial news outlets will be used to determine the leader.
