Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
TechOne-OffHealth & Medicine3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80.2%
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19
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 22, 4:17 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund mass distribution of azithromycin on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if an azithromycin distribution charity is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the "mass distribution of azithromycin" row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Azithromycin can be distributed for the purpose of child mortality reduction or other purposes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027? resolve?
- Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund mass distribution of azithromycin on or before December 31, 2026.