Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
SportsOne-OffChessTechHealth & MedicineManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (94.9%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 2:26 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes94.9%
No5.099999999999994%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria" row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. IPTi can be distributed for malaria reduction or other purposes.
