Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?
CommoditiesOne-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsSportsLatin AmericaCrime & JusticeChess4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 2:11 PM UTCOct 24, 30, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Gannon Ken Van Dyke has been charged with 5 crimes related to alleged insider trading on polymarket on Maduro and Venezuela markets.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if Gannon Ken Van Dyke is convicted of any of the criminal charges brought against him in the federal indictment unsealed in the Southern District of New York on April 23, 2026.
- A "conviction" includes a guilty verdict by a judge or jury, or a plea of guilty or nolo contendere to at least one of the charged counts.
- The market will resolve to "NO" if the charges are dismissed, if he is found not guilty on all counts, or if the case is otherwise terminated without a conviction.
- If convicted after trial, this only resolves after an appeal is ruled upon, or the deadline to file an appeal is over.
Open markets
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
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- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted? resolve?
- Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted? is scheduled to resolve on October 24, 2030.
- How is Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Gannon Ken Van Dyke has been charged with 5 crimes related to alleged insider trading on polymarket on Maduro and Venezuela markets.