Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?
CommoditiesOne-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsSportsLatin AmericaCrime & JusticeChess3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 2:11 PM UTCOct 24, 30, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Gannon Ken Van Dyke has been charged with 5 crimes related to alleged insider trading on polymarket on Maduro and Venezuela markets.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if Gannon Ken Van Dyke is convicted of any of the criminal charges brought against him in the federal indictment unsealed in the Southern District of New York on April 23, 2026.
- A "conviction" includes a guilty verdict by a judge or jury, or a plea of guilty or nolo contendere to at least one of the charged counts.
- The market will resolve to "NO" if the charges are dismissed, if he is found not guilty on all counts, or if the case is otherwise terminated without a conviction.
- If convicted after trial, this only resolves after an appeal is ruled upon, or the deadline to file an appeal is over.
