Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.1%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 28, 26, 8:10 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,050 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExRules
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder palladium, HS 711021, or other primary palladium, HS 711029.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
