What are the current odds for Will China abandon its Hukou system by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will China abandon its Hukou system by 2030? resolve?

Will China abandon its Hukou system by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

ChinaOne-Off3y

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Current community forecast

No 79%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Aug 31, 23, 3:03 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:59 PM UTC

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https://www.eastisread.com/p/why-are-immigrant-population-denied?r=b9qmq&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

"Hukou is a vital institution influencing China's labor market and internal migration, and it is under reform.
Small and medium cities with under 5 million permanent urban residents have now fully lifted hukou restrictions.
However, in bigger cities, public services tied to hukou status still treat non-local permanent residents differently.
Efforts are ongoing to address this.
The end goal is that after several years of reform, people can move freely, and hukou will become just a registration of where you live, not determinant of your access to public services.