Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?
RegulationOne-OffTech3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 65.3%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 4, 26, 8:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, any of the following companies publicly announce a power purchase agreement (PPA), behind-the-meter agreement, nuclear/renewable supply contract, or equivalent power arrangement of ≥1,000 MW (1 GW) or more, dedicated to a single datacenter or datacenter campus:
- Amazon (AWS), Microsoft (Azure), Alphabet (Google Cloud), Meta, Oracle Cloud, Apple, IBM Cloud
- Or any "neocloud" (CoreWeave, Lambda, Crusoe, etc.)
- Source of truth: public press releases, SEC filings, EIA datacenter-electricity reports, utility-commission filings (state PUCs publish PPAs), or major news outlets reporting based on these primary sources.
- The deal must be specifically for a datacenter or datacenter campus, not a portfolio-level corporate procurement.
- Multi-site aggregations don't count unless ≥1 GW is dedicated to a single named datacenter.
Open markets
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+7 more outcomes
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+8 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31? resolve?
- Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, any of the following companies publicly announce a power purchase agreement (PPA), behind-the-meter agreement, nuclear/renewable supply contract, or equivalent power arrangement of ≥1,000 MW (1 GW) or more, dedicated to a single datacenter or datacenter campus: