Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100??

Manifold Markets prices No at 83.7% as of November 10, 2026.

When does Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100? resolve?

Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

How is Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Apr 14, 11:13am: Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg be discovered or created before 2100? → Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created by humans before 2100?

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google-2.5pt73.2%
• Anthropic+0.5pt24.7%
• OpenAI-0.8pt2.1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$125.9K

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX89.9%
• Anthropic+0.3pt10.1%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in November?

• Above 6-1.0pt96.5%
• Above 7-2.0pt87.5%
• Above 8-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

• 0+2.0pt91.1%
• 1-0.5pt5%
• 2+0.9pt3%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+1.4pt82.7%
• No17.4%

Total Vol

$483.2K

24h Vol

$7.4K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 192%
• 2+2.5pt8%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

• Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
• SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
• Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
• What will Rocket Lab say during their next earnings call?
• Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
• #3 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On)
• Elon Musk Net Worth on November 30?
• How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
• October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)