Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.8%
Forecasters
58
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 22, 22, 1:22 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.