Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
AIOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 70.8%
Forecasters
61
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 22, 25, 3:37 AM UTCJan 29, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
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https://openai.com/index/announcing-the-stargate-project/ says "The Stargate Project is a new company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States.
- We will begin deploying $100 billion immediately.
- This infrastructure will secure American leadership in AI, create hundreds of thousands of American jobs, and generate massive economic benefit for the entire world.
- This project will not only support the re-industrialization of the United States but also provide a strategic capability to protect the national security of America and its allies."
- 500 billion is a LOT.
- Will all of actually get invested within the timeframe? Resolves YES if it is reported from a credible source (NYT, OpenAI, federal government, CNN) that $500 billion got invested.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years? resolve?
- Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years? is scheduled to resolve on January 29, 2029.
- How is Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://openai.com/index/announcing-the-stargate-project/ says "The Stargate Project is a new company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States.